Comp Pick "Expert" Predicts Steelers Comp Picks

A guy who's been known to be pretty accurate at predicting comp picks released his predictions for all 32 teams.
He has us being awarded 3.

Read more~ http://thesteelersfans.com/1778/compensatory-pick-projector-predicts-steelers-2014-comp-picks

 

Personally, I don't think we'll get one for Mundy. Signing Bruce Gradkowski should effectively cancel out the loss of Mendenhall.

 

LSH- Doesn't factor due to low, non qualifying contract. Though, it's unclear how players on IR effect the comp picks. Sometimes they do, sometimes they don't. I'd say that's not a factor at all for him though, due to his small contract.

Fernando? Cut by the Titans.

Levi? Wasn't a free agent.

Spaeth? Cut by Bears.

Palmer? Claimed off waivers.

Antwone Blake? Claimed off waivers.

Cody Wallace? Doesn't factor due to low, non-qualifying contract.

Guy Whimper- Doesn't factor due to low, non-qualifying contract.

 

I think you're going to be disappointed. You shouldn't be though, gaining a 3rd and a 5th is great.

 

Yup, 3rd is huge, I can live with the rest.

 

I'd love the extra 7th but I'm guessing just a 3rd and a 5th, which I can definitely live with..

 

I have to admit, I don't get the Mendenhall omission at all. He signed a 1 year/2.5 Million contract with the Cards, and although he wasn't stellar, he did start 15 games, run for 600+ yards and score 8 TDs (2nd on his team and tied for 29th in the league). Mundy signed a 1 year/715k contract with the Giants. He started 9 games and had his career bests in all statistical categories, but did not have as much of an impact on the Giants as Mendenhall had with the Cards.

I know that this guy is accurate, but could he have simply forgotten about Mendy?

 

Personally, I'd be pretty surprised if any draft penalty materializes. If there was one, my instinct says that it wouldn't be in the form of a compensatory pick penalty, mainly because it's never happened before I guess. That, and comp picks are viewed regular draft picks in that you either get them or you don't, and they cannot be traded.

Having said that, who knows what the league will do. Just because there's no precedent certainly doesn't mean they won't. It would surprise me, though.

 

No. We signed free agent Bruce Gradkowski for 3 years, at almost $5 Mil. He cancels Mendy out. Though, I disagree with him in that I don't believe Mundy will factor at all. He could though.

 

They shouldn't be taking any pick since the reason for doing so was in case what happened affected the Ravens seeding, it didn't so therefore no pick should be surrendered.

Of course this is Goodell so who knows.

 

I believe that was what was inferred from what the NFL said when they handed out Tomlin's fine. In a statement the league issued when they announced his fine, they said, "because the conduct affected a play on the field, a modification or forfeiture of draft choices will be considered after the final order of the 2014 draft has been determined."

 

Why doesn't he just burn the footage of Tomlin stepping on the field?

 

Who are the 'so many people?' That's really more of a rhetorical question, but I thought it was just me. Not to sound incredibly egotistical, self absorbed, and vain- but I thought I was the only guy who was predicting that, and that we'd only get a 3rd and a 5th. The post-gazette guys (Dulac et al) were basically predicting that the Steelers were going to get the house (and it seemed that many people were thinking that, too). A 3rd, a 4th, a 5th or something along those lines IIRC. I imagine many predictions will change now that the article I referenced was published.

I can say with a fair amount of certainly that you are focusing too much on per year amounts, and the annual values are not "clearly all priority over total value". I can't really help you with your examples, because they're just predictions. I'm not sure why he has certain picks for other teams. You'd have to ask him.

I'm pretty under the weather, and I only had a couple hours of sleep last night, so I can't really break everything down, but I think I have at one time or another on here. I can say this though: this is my educated guess based on all the contracts I dug through, their lengths, guaranteed money, compared to those of the free agents the teams signed and comp picks they received over the last couple years. Maybe he and I are wrong. Maybe Mendy will net the Steelers a high comp pick. That would be sweet. I disagree with him though in that I don't believe the loss of Mundy will return a pick.