AFC Playoff Teams

Discuss.

Last four games:

KC: (3-1) MIA 33-27, NO 32-29, ATL 17-14, LAC 21-38*

BUF: (4-0) PIT 26-15, DEN 48-19, NE 38-9, MIA 56-26

PIT: (1-3) BUF 15-26, CIN 17-27, IND 28-24, CLE 22-24*

TEN: (3-1) JAC 31-10, DET 46-25, GB 14-40, HOU 41-38

BAL: (4-0) CLE 47-42, JAC 40-14, NYG 27-13, CIN 38-3

CLE: (2-2) BAL 42-47, NYG 20-6, NYJ 16-23, PIT 24-22**

IND: (3-1) LV 44-27, HOU 27-20, PIT 24-28, JAC 28-14

Games against other playoff teams:

KC: (4-0) BAL 34-20, BUF 26-17, TB 27-24, NO 32-29

BUF: (3-2) LAR 35-32, TEN 16-42, KC 17-26, SEA 44-34, PIT 26-15

PIT: (5-3) CLE 38-7, TEN 27-24, BAL 28-24, BAL 19-14**, WFT 17-23, BUF 15-26, IND 28-24, CLE 22-24*

TEN: (4-4) BUF 42-16, PIT 24-27, CHI 24-17, IND 17-34, BAL 30-24, IND 45-26, CLE 35-41, GB 14-40

BAL: (3-4) CLE 38-6, KC 20-34, PIT 24-28, IND 24-10, TEN 24-30, PIT 14-19*, CLE 47-42

CLE: (4-3) BAL 6-38, WFT 24-10, IND 32-23, PIT 7-38, TEN 41-35, BAL 42-47, PIT 24-22**

IND: (3-4) CHI 19-11, CLE 23-32, BAL 10-24, TEN 34-17, GB 34-31, TEN 26-45, PIT 24-28

* Missing multiple starters
** Opponent missing multiple starters

 

Football Outsiders DVOA rankings (Total, Offense, Defense, Special Teams):

Source: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2021/final-2020-dvoa-ratings

KC: (6, 2, 22, 17)

BUF: (4, 5, 12, 4)

PIT: (8, 22, 1, 14)

TEN: (14, 4, 29, 28)

BAL: (7, 11, 9, 2)

CLE: (18, 9, 25, 27)

IND: (10, 12, 7, 10)

The overall rank is pretty much how I'd rank the teams now: BUF, KC, BAL, PIT, IND, TEN, CLE.

 

Buffalo and GB are the hottest right now

 

Ravens are in trouble when facing a winning program.

 

Bills are hot, but I think we could have beaten them if we had been healthy, and didn't play such a poor game.

I think we could have beaten KC if we had Dupree, now I'm not sure...

 

looking at this, it’s clear that we had a pretty tough schedule despite what the naysayers said

 

Both (especially GB) do have significant HF advantage despite limited fan's. Even teams coming from bad whether areas do not want to play in GB or Buffalo, especially if it is snowing and bitter cold. There might be several NFC teams with better overall team talent, but coming from a Dome or FL is going to be tough.

 

Yep, Tampa and NO want no part of Lambeau in January. All of the AFC teams can deal with weather. Indy and Tenn are power run teams.

Interestingly, Tampa, GB, and NO are all ahead of all AFC teams in the FO DVOA rankings. I think Tampa is a bit of a fraud, with only one win over a team with a winning record all season. Now that was a blowout of GB, but they got rolling and couldn't be stopped.

I think they're going to have their hands full with Washington's front four this weekend.

 

Yeah, I'm not as worried about them as many others are. They get rolling against bad teams and pile on, but if they fall behind, they're in big trouble. Steelers have defended Lamar very well, twice.

 

If they are smart they just run their wheels off vs us... we can’t stop it

 

Cleveland was missing 5 starters Sunday and all 4 WRs vs the Jets (that's why they lost).

 

Stop giving them ideas.

 

Just go 1-0 this week

 

I'd say it's not so much us stopping it as it's Lamar is a liability in their passing game.

 

Agreed.
The Ravens got 265 rushing yards in their home game, and it still wasn't enough.