So what are the scenarios we get in the playoffs?

Win both games = in no matter what
go 1-1 = need balt to go 1-1
go 0-2 = miss playoffs

wildcard scenarios
colts vs giants
titans vs redskins

week 17 colts vs titans.

So let's say baltimore wins out and we lose to the saints. We are counting on either both redskins AND giants beating colts/titans or 1 of them beats colts/titans and then the other team loses week 17 so both finish 9-7 and we finish 9-6-1 and Baltimore finishes 10-6.

I honestly think our highest percentage chance is baltimore losing saturday. If they win things are going to get hairy lol.

Still, Steelers farting around that 3 game losing streak is why they are sweating bullets and not coasting for #1 seed.

 

You can run through all the scenarios on ESPN's Playoff Machine. Great way to kill time picking games.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

If Balt wins out, and Pitt loses to No but beats Cin. They will be 9-6-1 and lose the div to 10-6 Balt,

If either Indy or TN wins out they will be 10-6 and will take the last WC. The two play each other the last week.

If Indy beat NYG and TN beat Was this weekend, they will both be 9-6 when they face each other in Week 17. Unless there's a tie between them, Pitt is out in this scenario.

But if Indy and TN, both finish 9-6-1, like Pitt in this Scenario. Indy eliminated TN head to head (1-0-1) in their two games. But Pitt grabs the last WC, because they beat Indy on common opponents.

 

Or let's put it this way.

There are 32 combination of ways for Balt, Indy and TN to finish the season.

If the Steelers go 2-0, they win the Division in all 32 scenarios
If they finish 1-1, they win the division in 24 scenarios, get a WC in 4 and are eliminated in 4.
If they go 0-2, they win the division in 8 scenarios and are eliminated in 24.


If we assume a Balt win at LAC, we're down to 16 scenarios
Steeler go 2-0, win the division in all 16 scenarios
Finish 1-1, win the division in 8 scenario, WC in 4, eliminated in 4
Finish 0-2, eliminated in all 16 scenarios.

 

So basically win out and we are good lol

 

Well , yes, in the unsophisticated Yinzer way, win out and you're in.
But it is more sophisticated and subtle than that.

 

Yeah I think that's been the case every week since what... Week 3 or 4?

 

So in a thread entitled "so what are the scenarario we get into the playoffs?", the necessary scenarios are explained in detail, and the response is "oh, so if we win out, we're basically in".

One might ask, "why did you ask?"

 

If Baltimore wins this week and the Steelers lose then there is nothing more that Cincy would want than to knock us out of the playoffs. I don't care f they have a mediocre coach and 15 players on IR, I will not be comfortable going into that game. Hoping CLE beats Baltimore will be an uneasy feeling as well.

Need to take care of business down in N.O.

 

In that scenario, Cle is more important that Cincy. Cle would need to knock off Bal, in order for the Pit-Cin game to matter. Pit can beat Cincy 50-0, but Balt beating Cle by a point knocks Pit out.

If both Pitt and Bal lose, then the Cincy game matters per your scenario.

 

OK, I get it now. Just wish the Steelers would have either won the Cle, SD or Oak game in which they should have.

 

You're just no fun at all

 

My wife and daughter say the same thing,

 

loss to the Saints and Tie bengals?
/Ducks and runs/

 

This puts them at 8-6-2, which is the equivalent of 9-7. They'd be 3-1-2 in the division, equivalent of 4-2, that would win the tiebreak over Balt if they finished 9-7. So unless Balt wins out,that scenario wins the division for Pitt.

 

By kickoff time in NO, we’ll know the results of the BAL, TEN and (probably) IND games.

If all three won, PIT must win out to make the postseason.

If BAL lost and both TEN and IND won, PIT must either win out or put all their trust in their Week 17 matchup with CIN. (Can’t assume BAL will lose against CLE.)

 

Wouldn't surprise me if Ravens went 0-2 these next 2 games. Chargers are good and Browns will rally in week 17.

 

There are scenarios and there are likely scenarios. The most likely scenario is Chargers beating Ravens. Anything else is highly unlikely imo.

 

Go Chargers

 

Easy killer...

The ravens are annoying enough to do just that. And the chargers are...well the chargers.

 

Oops. That “(Can’t assume BAL will lose against CLE.)” was supposed to apply to both parts.

 

Best case scenario for Steelers is a chargers win and Steelers win.(merry xmas)

2nd best case is chargers loss and Steelers win. (sweating bullets game)

3rd best is chargers win and steelers loss.(at least we won't sweat it)

4th best is Chargers loss, steelers loss, and both indy/titans lose.

5th best is goodnight sweet prince.



Biggest game is that Saturday night one because this is at home, for a 1 seed. If chargers lose man they are just plain chokers lol

 

Chargers are the best team in the AFC (at present) whether we like it or not. They beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead and Steelers at Heinz. Surely Chargers can beat the Ravens in the comforts of LA. Ravens have a damn good D, but I think Rivers/offense can rack up some points against them. Plus, Chargers D can stop Jackson.

 

There has to be an error there "Pitt grabs the last WC, because they beat Indy on common opponents." We have no tie breaker scenario because we have a tie. We get in on win percentage only.