Odds to win the 2015 Super Bowl

The Steelers are 28/1 to win it, would take that bet? I think the Steelers have the offense to do it, the defense not so much. Only if these young players take a big step forward and become playmakers the team desperately needs. Jarvis, Shazier, Shamarko, Tuitt, Cortez along with contributions from the rookies on defense.

 

it's just so hard to say about the defense "not so much" with a different DC. all we have to go on is what DL did with them. many things could change including how they are taught to strip balls and the usage of these same players. so many are figuring the defensive changes under butler to be just subtle changes of DL's system and I believe it could be quite different in the attack the ball level. at least I hope it is. improving the TO rate is crucial and I think DL liked a safer type of defense overall. maybe kevin will build on that with this speed. our odds could climb quickly. health will allow that though. I think we have added some good additions to this defense as it sits. here's hoping for some of that 49er magic when they started all those youngsters and had great success with them years ago.

 

Can't take it. I 've already got $1,000.00 on them to win it @ 25-1.
Maybe I can ask Vegas if I can cancel my first bet of a couple of months ago and then bet it again today at 28-1.
They probably don't have a sense of humor and wouldn't think that was too funny.

 

I have seen where the line is 25/1 and 28/1 at some places, I would take that bet if I had some extra money.

 

[h=4]NFL Postseason Play - Defense Returns[/h]When the bad teams are eliminated in the playoffs, defense returns to NFL football. To win the Super Bowl, you have to maintain a balance of good offense and good defense. The Green Bay Packers destroyed opponents through the 2011 regular season, but this masked the fact their own pass defense was one of the worst in the NFL. Part of that was the fact teams got down early and had to throw the ball a lot to get back into games. Another part of their lowly defensive stats was the Packers seemed to lose their pass rush. The Pack's pass rush should have been emboldened protecting leads, racking up gaudy sack stats. Instead, they had average sack stats and game up tremendous amounts of yardage. The Green Bay Packers were due to lose to a more balanced team in the 2012 playoffs, which is exactly what happened when they ran up against the New York Giants, who had regained their fierce pass rush.
[h=4]Trends in Las Vegas Super Bowl Bets[/h]So when it's time to make a wager on the outcome of next year's playoffs, don't just look at the gaudy offensive stats throughout the regular season. Don't even look at which team is seeded highest or which seemed most "dominant" throughout the season. Find the most balanced teams, which have a top quarterback, but also a top pass rush unit. It doesn't hurt if they have a viable running game, but run statistics become a factor again in the playoffs. Find the teams which are relatively healthy, but mostly, see which teams have built a complete team or complete game throughout the latter stages of the playoffs. Then bet on those teams, regardless of seeding.
[h=4]One Final Tip[/h]The 2011-2012 New England Patriots flouted my theory last year, because the combined a dominant passing offense with a below average pass defense. I argue their appearance in the Super Bowl was a bit of a fluke. The Patriots would have had trouble beating teams with better passers in the AFC playoffs, if they had been forced to play Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers (doomed by injuries) or a Houston Texans team led by Matt Schaub (again, injuries). Instead, the Patriots got the best possible playoff match-ups, as their pass defense only had to face Tim Tebow and Joe Flacco. The match-ups favored the Patriots, until they reached the Super Bowl. I should say that logic might not apply in the 2015 playoffs, since it looked like Bill Belichick's young defensive unit was figuring things out in the Super Bowl--and they appear to have had a good offseason on the defensive side of the ball.
Each season is different in the NFL. When the NFL playoffs start, it's like a new season unto itself. So if you make Vegas bets late next year, be sure to revaluate everything once again and know what to ignore about what you've seen in the regular season.