It's going to be a long off season, so let's take a closer look at some guys. Let's talk about Najee. I don't love 1st Rd RB picks. You better be special for even a 2nd rd pick. I was very vocal against the pick. I did say though, if they were hell bent on it, please take Etienne. He's FAR more explosive. And, truly, isn't that why you would draft a 1st Rd RB? Because he's an exceptional athlete with game breaking ability? If Adrian Peterson is taken in the early 20's, I almost get it. Let's compare Harris and Etienne for fun. We'll only look at their best 10 games this year. They were both working back from foot injuries early on. Both have young QB's, and are both rebuilding, so that also helps. Harris best 10 games stats: rushing - 804 yds/4.1 ypc/4 td's/80.4 ypg/ 19 carries per game recving - 20 catches/116 yds(5.8 yp)/1 td 920 total yards/92 ypg Etienne best 10 games stats: rushing - 922 yds/7.1 ypc/5 td's/92.2 ypg/15 carries per game recving - 21 catches/226 yds(10.7 yp)/1 td 1148 total yards/114.8 ypg What's the difference? Explosive plays. Etienne has 8 runs over 20 yards, 4 that went over 40 yards. Hell, Chubb has 13 carries over 20 yards. He had 12 last year as well. Harris has 2 in two seasons. Chubb has 25! Chubb wasn't a 1st rounder either. In almost 600 carries, our 1st Rd RB has 2 runs over 20 yards. TWO! In 600 carries! Zero over 40. That's almost unheard of. 600 carries?! Two?! 1st Rd Rb?! Ok, let's calm down and look at Rhamondre Stevenson. They guy I wanted, that NE took in the 4th Rd that year. He's also a big back on a rebuilding team, with a young qb. Rhamondre Stevenson best 10 game stats: rushing - 829 yds/5.8 ypc/4 td's/8.5 carries per game (25 more yards on 62 less carries. Very telling. That is 3 less games worth of carries. Harris averages 19.2 per game. ) recving - 39 catches/220 yards/1 td(actually has 64 catches for 421 this year. Harris (41/229)) 1049 total yards/104.9 ypg I keep hearing what a beast he was late. Like in those last 4 wins. Ok, lets look at it. He averaged 85 yrds rushing/3.9 ypc over the last 4 wins. Not bad, but not even close to great considering that it's only 4 games to average out. Caught 9 passes(2.2 per game) for 64 yards(16 ypg), and 1 TD. One of those catches was huge obviously. Great f***ing play by Harris and KP. Seems like he did well relative to to his normal, but when you put his numbers up against other starters, he's average at best. I will say that he has gotten much better at consistently geting 2-4 yards per carry. He's hitting the holes harder and dancing less. A lot less negative runs. Plus he's a good kid, and tries hard. Very professional guy. Glad he's on my team. But, he's not a top end back. Again, lack of explosion. And again, the reason you draft a 1st Rd RB. He probably suffers from the Edmunds effect. Had he been drafted in the 3rd rd, you're getting close to what you paid for. That said, they hit a homerun with Warren. I can't wait to see this kid next year. We're gonna have a nice one-two punch.