1. Hi Guest, Registrations are now open. See you on the inside.
    Dismiss Notice

Ben's a fourth tier quarterback according to this ESPN QBR ranking

Discussion in 'Steelers Talk' started by JackAttack 5958, Jan 17, 2015.

  1. JackAttack 5958

    JackAttack 5958 Well-Known Member

    13,091
    2,478
    Oct 18, 2011
  2. biggbunch68

    biggbunch68

    13,813
    2,345
    Apr 26, 2012
    ESPN QBR is not real, its just some crap they made up and try to shove down our throats. Ithink Jaw's is the inventor of ESPN QBR:rolleyes:
     
  3. 86WardsWay

    86WardsWay Well-Known Member

    17,701
    5,157
    Dec 27, 2012
    Started reading and got to so many graphs and charts trying to prove an opinionated point of view that I lost interest. Reminded me too much of my work.

    Ben will never be considered elite. He could win 3 SB's in a row and they'd still talk about Brady and Manning being better.
     
  4. Blast Furnace

    Blast Furnace Staff Member Mod Team

    43,990
    9,891
    Oct 16, 2011
    This article lost any credibility by having Bridgewater higher than Ben :lolol:

    You just know thats junk science there.

    Heck, there's only one in the 2nd tier that can be argued he is in Bens class and that is Luck.

    :bscow:
     
  5. JackAttack 5958

    JackAttack 5958 Well-Known Member

    13,091
    2,478
    Oct 18, 2011
    And Nick Foles, NICK FOLES!!!, in the same "on the cusp" level. :facepalm:
     
  6. Blast Furnace

    Blast Furnace Staff Member Mod Team

    43,990
    9,891
    Oct 16, 2011
    Yeah, that too :roflmao:
     
  7. BobbyBiz

    BobbyBiz Well-Known Member

    6,800
    816
    Nov 30, 2011
    That was the most painfully over analyzed article that I've ever (tried to) read. And totally useless too. If you're relying on their analysis to rate QBs, you're wasting your time. Imagine you do this through analysis and it leads to the conclusion that Colin Kapernick, Matt Schuab, and Teddy Bridgewater are better quarterbacks than Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco, and Eli Manning. It just doesn't pass the logic, common sense, or eyeball tests and is simply NOT reality. If I did that research and those were the results, I certainly wouldn't publish it for fear of looking like a complete nincompoop. I would burn the data and then burn the ashes again just to make sure that no one ever read that crap.
     
  8. Steel Commando

    Steel Commando Well-Known Member

    83
    3
    Jan 2, 2012
    ESPN is NOT real, it's just some BS cable station made up and shoved down the throats of the few that still watch it. I think the idiots who run ESPN are Moe, Larry and Curly.
     
  9. Jammasterc

    Jammasterc Well-Known Member

    15,700
    1,359
    Oct 26, 2011
  10. 86WardsWay

    86WardsWay Well-Known Member

    17,701
    5,157
    Dec 27, 2012
    Dang. All along I thought it was Beavis and Butthead.
     
  11. SteelerJJ

    SteelerJJ Well-Known Member

    8,412
    494
    Oct 16, 2011
    QB rankings are now and have always been worthless. Wins and losses are the only stats that matter. Ben is 106-52 as a starter and #11 all time for NFL wins.
     
  12. contract

    contract Well-Known Member

    2,185
    16
    Jan 11, 2014
    No one is dumbfounded that Matt Schaub is a tier above Ben??? He's a backup to a rookie!
     
  13. BobbyBiz

    BobbyBiz Well-Known Member

    6,800
    816
    Nov 30, 2011
    That should have been the first hint that they wasted their time with this analysis.
     
  14. AFan

    AFan Well-Known Member

    3,716
    793
    Oct 24, 2011
    My understanding is that QBR isn't some subjective ranking based on opinion, but is compiled by analyzing the success of a QB on each play. In other words, two QBs with identical results in identical situations will get the same QBR. Not sure if that's 100% true but that's my understanding. It may be a complicated statistic, but it's the same for everyone.

    If so, the numbers are the numbers, Lots of people here think Tony Romo is a stiff, but he did have a higher passing rating than Ben this yr. Phillip Rivers, another stiff, threw just one less TD than Ben. Are these things biased too?

    Ben takes a lot sacks, his teams kick a lot of FGs in the red zone. Passer rating, passing yds, don't show this. QBR apparently takes this into account. And it's no surprise it shows him worse than other metrics.

    I don't think Ben is mediocre QB by any means. But I do think his supporters over rate him, and his detractors under value him.
     
  15. Blast Furnace

    Blast Furnace Staff Member Mod Team

    43,990
    9,891
    Oct 16, 2011
    Garbage formula, look at some of the names ahead of him.

    Bens a top 5 QB and thats not overrating him and no silly QBR metric will tell me otherwise, I know what my own eye's tell me.
     
  16. doubleyoi

    doubleyoi

    7,272
    1,521
    Apr 26, 2012
    I was thinking the same thing about Schaub. (career rating 89, vs Ben 94)
     
  17. Steel_Elvis

    Steel_Elvis Staff Member Mod Team

    16,816
    4,922
    Nov 4, 2011
    I didn't take it as ranking Ben in a "4th tier" of QBs at all. I took it as typecasting QBs based on their career distribution of QBRs. If you look closely at the individual players' distribution curves, Ben and Romo fall just short of the elites. They simply have fewer games in that 80+ range, and a few more games in the lower range. They are clearly head and shoulders above the tiers mentioned between the "elites" and the "On the cusps", and I think that point is that Ben is "on the cusp" of being elite. Also, if you look at Ben's individual curve, it actually lies somewhere in between the elites and the rest of the on the cusp guys, which is something that I think a lot of us realize - he's really, really good, but falls just short of truly being elite (IMO because of inconsistency and having one or 2 more clunker games/year than the elites do).

    In other words, EPSN was trying to fit QBs into "types" based on statistical distribution. I don't think they were rating the groups listed ahead of Ben as being better, they were just fitting them into types. While I think the way that they did it is a bit far fetched, it's also true IMO that stats don't lie. They can be skewed, but they don't lie entirely. What ESPN should have done is list the on the cusp players just under the elites, which IMO would have made their point less controversially.. But hey - that's ESPN for you. Used to be a great network, but now their best work is funny commercials.
     
  18. defva

    defva Well-Known Member

    6,094
    631
    Oct 19, 2011
    Top 5 qb....but I'm still looking for consistency
     
  19. AFan

    AFan Well-Known Member

    3,716
    793
    Oct 24, 2011
    actually, the 2014 QBR had Ben at #5. So it agrees with you.
     
  20. Blast Furnace

    Blast Furnace Staff Member Mod Team

    43,990
    9,891
    Oct 16, 2011
    Not so sure about that, Elvis, I mean 2nd tier is pretty black and white. Poor choice of categorizing if nothing else.

    Great, still don't care about these new analytical measuring sticks.
     
  21. turtle

    turtle

    8,542
    1,375
    Jan 14, 2015
    Does the QBR take into account which type of offense is ran? Specifically if short passes are weighted differently than longer passes. Obviously the dink n dunk offenses will show higher completion rates than those that throw deep consistently. Maybe that can skew the QBR, I don't know as I don't really follow the metrics that closely.
     
  22. Brews Crew

    Brews Crew Well-Known Member

    206
    12
    Nov 13, 2011
    Outside of getting game scores & stats, I put no stock in anything ESPN has to say.
     
  23. turtle

    turtle

    8,542
    1,375
    Jan 14, 2015
    Yea, probably just some espn interns trying to find the latest and greatest way add another stat to the list. Reminds me of newest exercise machines that will "help you lose fat and gain muscle".

    If you call within the next 5 minutes, they'll also send you their exclusive formula on how cleat length improves traction.
     
  24. Steel Acorn

    Steel Acorn Well-Known Member

    2,709
    250
    Oct 17, 2011
    I agree. The author was using QBR to cluster quarterbacks into groups based on their consistency. The "Elites" are at the top more often and more consistently than the other groups. One of Ben's issues is that while he has exceptional games (6 touchdowns two weeks in a row), he also has a good number of games where he is close to awful. The "elite" group has far fewer games where they are awful. What this simple analysis doesn't take into account is when the awful game happens - Manning would have low marks for playoff games :).
     
  25. HugeSnack

    HugeSnack Well-Known Member

    5,243
    103
    Oct 17, 2011
    I just hope someday Ben will be as good as Teddy Bridgewater. We'd be unstoppable!
     

Share This Page

Welcome to the ultimate resource for Steelers fans. Sign Up Here!