2024 Season

Top ...KC 3.4
Pen--
TO...Pit 4.33
1OF..KC 6.04
1DD..---
3OF..KC 7.4
3DD..Pit 5.56
RZ...KC 4.00

KC 20.84
Pit 9.89 + 5.5 L/O =15.39 = KC -5.45 (add 3 Pit Home)= KC -2.5

Dead on line ...Damn


Line off

kc -3 / Pitt +52.5 = 55.5 / 10 = pitt 5.5



Pred tracker ...pk
Footy Forecast..pk

Steelers 7-4 in games where they only get 20 or less 1D on offense. They can wiN ugly as we know. Thats good cuz KC D has held teams in 12 games to under 20 1st D. Smelling Boswell FTW

 

top ...Bal 4.6
pen ...Hou 1.23
to...Hou 2.66
1OF..Bal 6.28
1DD..Hou 5.81
3OF......
3D...Hou 6.08
rz ..Bal 5.00


Balt =15.88 +4 lo = 19.88
Hou=15.78 +3 Home= 18.78

=Balt -1


L/O Balt +24 Hou -16 = 40/10 = Balt +4

pred track... Balt -4
Footy...Balt -5


*I don't really like to give points for home but showing you anyway. Its already baked into the cake, especially at this point of season.

 

Jeez, again the Steelers fail to beat a good team that's not the Ravens or sometimes Cincy. Press repeat year after year. Haven't watched game yet was going to catch replay before work tonite. Going to just wait on that.

 

Wk#17

Sea 30 / Bears 21.5 QL Sea by 8.5 , Pred Tracker Sea -2
LAC 32/Pats 26 , Lac -6 , Lac -6
Den 33/Cin 30.5 , Den -2.5 , PK
AZ 35/ Rams 30 , Az -5 , Rams -4
Dal 24.5 / Phi 37 , Phi-12.5 , Phi -11
LV 21.5 / NO 25.5 , No -4 , -5
Jets 28.5 / Buf 34 , Buf -5.5, -12.5
Car 25.5 / TB 37, TB -11.5, -13
Ind 27.5 /Nyg 21, Ind -6.5, -5.5
Ten 26 / Jax 24.5, Ten -1.5 , Jax -2.5
Mia 28.5 / Cle 24.5 , Mia -4 , -3.5
GB 35 / Min 36.5 , Min -1.5 , pk
Atl 29.5 / Was 31.5 , Wa -2 , -5.5
Det 38.8 / SF 28, Det -10.5 , Det -7.5

Seems like everyone was on Az last week and got burnt. Played their best game of year vs. wounded Rams team early on.Cards should be out of favor this week. Rams 4-0 su/ats run and perfect teaser number -7. To good to be true ?

 

today

1* Bears +4.5

Why not, lol. Bears off B2B zeros. They where in same situation few weeks back and covered. Only happened few times this season, real bad teams 3-3 ATS TY in next game. Caleb protects ball, short week travel for Hawks and out of playoffs.


1*OKC Thunder -5


Sunday

2* Packers -1
1* Packers +5 / TB-2 /Indy -1.5 (+155)
1*Packers +5 /Bears +10.5/Cards +12.5 (+155)


today
1*OKC Thunder -5

Friday 27th... Bham Bowl
1*Vandy +3

 

Heck Im wrong Hawks still in playoff scenario. Its now a must win situation. That usually is bad spot.

 

25-28,+2.30

Wk 17


2* Ravens W
1* Bears W


SAT.12/28

2* Bungals -3.5 +100



Sun.12/29

2*Raiders -1 -12
2* Packers -1
1* Packers +5 / TB-2 /Indy -1.5 (+155)
1*Packers +5 /Bears +10.5/Cards +12.5 (+155)

 

1Q Memphis Grizz +2 +05

 

MNF



2** Lions -3.5

 

Bungals / Steelers +2.5


Top +9 (+10) = 0
Pen 755 - 803 = 48/100 = .48 Cin
TO +- (-4) +15 = 19/3 = 6.33 Pit
1DD 345+ 303=648/100=6.48 Pit
1OF 355+302= 657/100= 6.57 Cin
3OF 95+86= 181/25 = 7.24 Cin
3DD 83+67 =150/25 = 6.00 Pit
RZ +4 -7 =11/3 = 3.66 Cin

Cin = 17.95
Pit = 18.81 = Pitt by .86 +4.9 LO = Pit by 5.76


L/0 Cin -15 + 35 = 49/10 = 4.9 Pit

*Cincy on 4-0 su/ats run so I don't really care for LO pts. this week. Steelers don't deserve them.

* Cincy 3OF pts high, not huge advantage.

Cin 33 Pit 32.5 = QL pk

 

31-30, +8.65

Wk#18



1/4


2* Bungals -1.5

 

WK #18.............. QL Pred Track Vegas Line

Cle 25 / Balt 41........ Bal -16 -17 -20
Cin 34 / Pit 32.5........ Cin -1.5 Pit -2 Cin -2
Jax 27.5 / Ind 28..... pk Ind -3.5 Ind -5
Buf 37 / Ne 26 ..... Buf -11 -13 -2.5
Was 35 / Dal 25 ... Wa -10 -4 -6.5
Nyg 24.5 /Phi 40.5.. Phi -16 -16.5 -3
Chi 23 / GB 37.. GB -14 -12.5 -10.5
Car 25.5 / Atl 31 .. -5.5 -9.5 -8
Hou 32 / Ten 27 .. Hou -5 -5 Ten -1
No 26 / TB 41 ... -15 -12 -13.5
SF 30/ Az 37 ..... -7 -1.5 -4.5
Mia 32 / Jets 29.5.... -2.5 -2 -1
Lac 36 / Lv 25 ... -11 -6.5 -4.5
Kc 41.5 / Den 34.5.. -7 -1 Den -10.5
Min 38.5 / Det 40.5... -2 -6 -3
Sea 32.5 / Rams 32 ... pk LA -2 Sea -6.5

 

Min /Det -3

Top 73 -94 = 21 /5 = 4.2 Det
Pen 815- 939 = 124/100= 1.24 Min
+-TO (+10) +11 = 1/ 3= .33 Det
1DD 301+317 = 618/100= 6.18 Min
1OF 339+386 =725/100= 7.25 Det
3OF 77+93= 170/25= 6.8 Det
3DD 73+57= 135/25= 5.2 Det
+-RZ (+ 8) +19 = 11/3 =3.66 Det

Min 7.24
Det 27.44 = Det by 20.20 + L/O 3.2 = Det by 23.4

L/O Min + 81 +113 = 32/10= 3.2 Det

Pred tracker=Det by 6

Footy Forecast = Det by 7

So Det has over a 20 point edge, thats what you look for in a favorite play using this formula. Big edge (20+) and small line -3. If the line was say Det -8 or more you would look to play dog. Just a tool.

 

31-30, +8.65

Wk#18



1/4


2* Bungals -1.5

SNF
2* Lions -2.5 -122

Just got home from work and line drops in my favor ! Juicy but ok. Not much to like this week maybe TB ?


GL!

 

31-30, +8.65

Wk#18



1/4


2* Bungals -1.5

1* TB -8.5 /Bears +16/Raiders +13(+160)

SNF
2* Lions -2.5 -122

 

Steelers /Ravens -9.5


Top +2 +31 = 29/5= 5.8 Bal
Pen 823 -1120 = 300 = 3.0 Pit
TO +16 +6 = 10/3 = 3.33 Pit
1DD 324+ 330 ....................
1OF 318+393= 7.11 Balt
3OF 90+92.........
3D 72+90= 162/25=6.48 Pit
RZ -6 +22 = 28/3 9.33 Bal


Steelers 12.81
Balt 22.24 = Bal by 9.43+lo 1.6 =Bal by 11

L/O Pit +35.5 (+51.5)= 16/10 = 1.6 Balt

QL Pit 34.5 - Bal 45 = Bal by 10.5

Last 4 QL Pit 5.5 -Bal 14 = Bal by 8.5

 

Lac /Hou +3

Top + 9+22 = 11/5 , 2.2 Hou
Pen 718 - 981= 263 , 2.63 Lac
TO +13 +10= 3/3 , 1.00 Lac
1DD 311+313 =...............
1OF 316+308=.................
3OF 89+87=...................
3DD 80+79=..................
+- RZ 10 (EV)= 10/3= 3.33 Lac

Lac 6.96 = Lac by 4.76 +lo 10.35= Lac by 15.11
Hou 2.20

L/O =Lac +76.5 Hou (-27) = 103.5/10 = Lac by 10.35

QL = Lac 38 - Hou 34 = Lac by 4

Last 4 QL = Lac 11- Hou 6.5 = Lac by 4.5

 

Den /Bills -8.5

Top = .60 Den
Pen =1.08 Buf
TO = 6.00 Buf
1DD= 6.83 Den
1OF = 6.75 Buf
3OF = ..........
3DD=............
RZ = 2.00 Buf

Den 7.43
Buf 22.58= Buf by 15.15 + lo 1= Buf by 16.15

L/O Den + 89 +Buff +99 = 10/10 = Buf by 1

QL Den 38.5-Buff 39= Buf pk


L4 QL DEN 10 - Buff 9 = Den by 1


Denver smashed spread vs. no show KC, so using wk 17 LO# and added 3. They also had 4 Quarter sweep ,not happening vs KC in real life.But they have been steady 2-3 Q winning games all season. Very steady team . Adjustments need to be made. Thats handicapping and up to you.

 

QLines

GB 38.5 - Phi 42.5 = Phi by 4

Was 37.5 - TB 43.5 = TB by 6

Min 39.5 -Rams 33.5 =Min by 6

TOP

DET +100
KC +17
DEN +4
Buff -1
GB +15
Phi +30
was+17
TB +56
Min +61
Rams -24
HOU +22

L/O

Det +112.5
KC -12
Buff +99
Den +89
GB+79.5
Phi +112.5
Was +68.5
TB +87.5
MIN+59.5
Rams -16.5
Hou -27

If someone wants to do any of these other games please do, just post it. Too much typing for me. I use Football reference for other stats.

 

WC


1* Steelers +10 -15

Not going to wait for 10.5 , prolly go down anyway.

 

2* Steelers +16 / Bills -3.5 (-110)

Bills on a mission and know how to navigate the playoffs. Nix is in for rude awakening.

Steelers D will show up they had a solid game vs. Cincy and it will carry over. The pressure is on Ravens. +16 should be solid cushion. Tomlin will let Russ cook and air it out, need to target Muth 10+ times! and where the F**k is that big ass Washington? He needs some targets just to punish a few DB if nothing else. 26-24 Steelers ! Boz wins it with a 47 yarder.

 

Was / TB -3

TOP =7.8 TB
Pen = 1.21 TB
TO = 2.00 Was
1DD .........
1OF= 7.75 TB
3OF= 8.36 TB
3DD=..........
RZ = .66 TB

Was 2.00
TB 25.78 = TB by 23.75 + LO 1.9 = TB by 25.65

L/O WAS +68.5 TB +87.5 = 19/10= 1.9 TB

Was 37.5 - TB 43.5 = TB by 6

L4 QL WA 10/ TB 11.5 = TB by 1.5

Pred Tracker TB by 4

Probability Tampa Bay 67.4% Washington 32.6%
Fair Odds Tampa Bay -206 Washington +206
Forecast
Tampa Bay by 6 points

 

WC

33-31, +11.65


2* Tampa Bay -3 -05
2* Steelers +16 / Bills -3.5 (-110)
1* Steelers +10 -15

 

Steelers down to +9.5 they want Ravens $$$ for sure. I like it, feels good.

Off to good start in Nba so why not. From my other thread.



17-10, + 6.80

Rockets -6 -05


Houston 3-1 ats TY in situation.

Bummer had nice play on Lac today.

GL!



Go Steelers !

Tampa Bay -3 !

 

2* Vikings -2.5