2024 Season

YTD





8/24

*1u* Eagles -2 (-110)

8/25

*1u* Cards +3.5 (-110)




GL!

 

0-2 , -2.2

Week #1

Thurs 8/5

1U * KC -2.5 (-122)


Betonline odds, all wagers risk to win so $122/100


Sunday 8/8

2u*Titans +3.5 (-110)

 

Sunday 8/8

1u* Dallas ML +120
1u* Falcons -3 -123
1u*Chargers -3 -111

 

Friday 8/6


1u* Packers +1.5 (-108)



GL !

 

3-5, -3.51

Wk#2


2u* Dallas -6 (-114)
1u* New England +3 (+100)


Keeping it light until I get some stats to work with.

GL!

 

3-6, -5.79

Last week 0-1-1, -2.28


Week 3

3u*** Lions -2.5 (-125)
1u* Dallas +1 (-110)


GL!

 

4-7, -3.89

LW 1-1, +1.90


Wk #4



3*** Broncos +7.5 (-118)

Like a few games this week and will add. I have Jets at -5, -4 and -3 with my lines . But Jets also have a fierce fade angle in effect. Solid system that was on Lions last week. The extra days of rest do concern me.

1* Az Cards -3.5 (+100)

My Lines saying Cards pk, -4.5 ,-7. Wash solid start to season and off big win. Another road game can make one weary and a few turnovers can get a healthy Kyler the ammo he needs. You could say same thing about Broncos above..LOL


GL

 

Wk 4

Sunday


3*** Broncos +7.5 (-118)
1* Az Cards -3.5 (+100)
1* Jags / Texans under 44.5 (-107)


MNF

2* Lions -3.5 (-110)



GL!

 

7-8, +1.11

LW 3-1, +5


Got lucky on Texans total last week and Cards didn't show up.


Week #5

TNF

1* Tampa ML +106

Stats favor Bucs on Offense pretty much all across board while both Def. pretty avg.
Falcons should only have 1 win. These Thursday games favor home team huge, but this is div. game and travel not bad from Tampa ! Bucs solid but kinda quiet. This season to date,TB has won BY Quarters 9 out of 16.(4 games) Thats freaking solid as hell. Atlanta only 5 of 16 vs. opp.

Treading light as Falcons games have been a bankroll burner for me over the years. On or against them .

GL !

 

QBQ Leaders

Min 10
KC 9
TB
No
Jets
Pitt 8



Line OFF +/- 50


Min +64
NO +60

Mia - 63


I start looking to play against a team at +50 and play on at -50 or more .

Minny hit +59 and covered again last week. So did NO. Bills hit 55.5 then got smoked by Ravens, and Car reached -52 then won in LV. Just another tool.

Miami lost their heart to play when Tua went down. They haven't won a Quarter since game 1 of season.

 

Falcons burn me again, 0-2 TY . That should be enough of reminder to stay away.


Sunday

2** Jets +2.5 -106
2**Rams +3 -106
1*Bungals +1 +108


Steelers line -2.5 should move down closer to kick off. Dallas might have gained a little confidence and extra rest since NYG and 2nd road win . Tough call, but I can't wait to watch.






GL !

 

Just brutal

SNF

1* Steelers -2.5 -117



MNF

3* KC Chiefs -5.5 -110



GL!

 

WK #6

8-13, -3.38

LW 1-5, -4.49

Not a thing went my way 2 OT losses and Steelers choke job just buried me.


Sunday 10/13

2* Ravens -6.5 (-118)
1*Saints +3.5 (-115)
1*Cowboys +3 (-105)
1*Steelers -3 (-114)


GL !

 

Pit @ LV

TOP...15 + -3 .. 18... 18/5 = 3.6 Pit
PEN... 246- 212...34...34/100= .34 LV
T/O...4-9 =5...5/3 = 1.66 Pit
1stDD..85+90= 175..175/100 = 1.75 Pit
1stOF...92 +89 = 181/100 = 1.81 Pitt
3rdOF 28+23 =50/100= .50 Pitt
3rd DD 24+18= 42/100= .42 LV
RZOTD 7-8 = 1/3 = .33 LV

Pit 9.32
LV 1.09 = 8.23 Pit

I do this with every game. Plus two other lines a basic opinion power rating and a prediction tracker median. Steelers getting heavy Time of Poss points, to much. Just even last 2 games.1stOF too close I normally wouldn't give points i like a 3-5 spread range for that stat.


Sitting here thinking Damn that Falcons -3 at Panthers looks good !

 

That Falcons line is at -6 , I had wrote it down wrong on my sheet ! They mess with my head every week ! Lots of love for Panthers.

I can see why

1.8 Car
--- NEGLIGIBLE
.66 ATL
2.17 ATL
1.78 ATL
.33 Car
.63 Car
EVEN


ATL 4.61
Car 2.8 = ATL +1.81

My pwr rtg is ATL 1 and Car -8 (+1.5) home= ATL by 5.5

Pred Tracker med ATL by 7

 

SNF

1* Bengals -3.5 (-110)

 

11-15, -1.58

LW 3-2, +1.8



WK# 7

5*Texans +2.5 (+100)

TOP.. 1.2 HOU
PEN...0.75 GB
TO...0.33 HOU
1STDD..2.22 HOU
1STOF..-------
3RDOF...2.66 HOU
3RDD ----------
RZO...0.33 HOU

HOU 6.74
GB .75 = HOU by 6

PW Rating GB by 3
Pred Track GB by 4

Strongest fade angle /system I have.
Angle is 2-0 this season but is only good weeks 2-10, so not going to be many chances left.

wk #3 was a fade of AZ ,play on Det. win
wk #4 Fade Jets,play on Den +8,,,win
wk #7 Fade GB, play on Texans ...




GL!

 

Jets at Steelers

TOP ....4.66 Pit
PEN.....1.65 Pitt
T/O.....1.00 Pit
1stD...2.09 Pit
-- others too close

Pitt 9.4
Jets 0 =Pit by 9

Pwr Rtg ..Pit by 3.5
Pred Track Pit by 5

Vegas Pit +2


I dont like this spot for Steelers.

 

Detroit @ Minn

TOP ...4.0 Det
Pen... .89 Min
TO... 1.66 Det
1DD...2.07 MIN
1OF..2.10 MIN
---
3DD 1.52 DET
RZO...0.66 DET

DET 7.84
MIN 5.06 = DET by 2.5

pwr rtg= Det by 2

Pred Tracker =Min by 1.5

vegas line Min -1


What a doozy matchup, will be working on this game.

 

WK# 7

5*Texans +2.5 (+100)
1* Vikings -1.5 (-110)

GL !

 

Week #8

Vikings @ Rams +2.5

Top... No Points
Pen 340- 237....1.03 Rams
TO +4 -1 =3/3 =1.00 Rams
1stD 115+126 ....2.41 Min
1stO 108+119....2.27 Rams
3rdO 27-28....NO POINTS
3rdD............NO PTS
RZO 1 (-1)=2/3 ..0.66Min

Vikings 3
Rams 4.3 = Rams by 1

pwr rtg. line

Vikes 4
Rams -1 + 1.5 Home = Vikings by 3.5

Pred Tracker Vikings by 5.5

Q-Line
Vikings 15.5
Rams 11= Vikings by 4.5

Road Favs on a 14-2 ATS run. Line moving down to Rams. Not feeling this game.
I have a strong SDQL that backs Minny.

Just going to stew on it.

 

Q lines ready with 7 weeks of stats, I will do a few.
Teams get 1 point for winning a quarter and half point for push .

Top Teams

TB 18.5
Balt 18
Pit 16.5
KC 15
GB 15
SF 15

To make a line just subtract !

NYG 10 / Pitt 16.5 = Pit -6.5 / Vegas line Pit -6.5

Balt 18 / Clev 10 = Balt -8 / -9

Car 8 /Den 14.5 = Den -6.5 / -4


Such a great way to make a line .

 

Lineoff

Car - 94.5
Mia -63
Jax -50

Panthers due to cover but line movement disagrees. I like all 3 this week

 

12-16, 2.32

LW 1-1, +3.9

Thurs


1* Rams +3 (-110)



GL!

 

NYG @ Steelers -6


top ...1.00 Pit
Pen ....0.60 NY
TO ...3.66 Pit * Edit*
1D ...NO PTS
1O...NO PTS
3O....NO PTS
3D.... NO PTS
RZOD...1.33 Pit

NYG .60
Pit 5.99 = Pit by 5

Crazy tale of tape, two teams with similar stats but different seasons.


Pwr Rtg line
Pit 2 +1.5H =3.5
NYG -5= Pit by 8.5


Pred Track, Pit by 11

QLine = Pit -6.5