NFL over-under win totals for 2021

I will take the over for the Steelers, with a 10-7 record.

 

My money's on the Bengals under 6.5.

 

I'm going 11 - 6 Steelers
Browns 9- 8
Ravens 9-8
Bengals 8- 9

 

I think all 4 teams are going to miss playing the NFC Least this season. I do agree we could be a division of pretty much .500 teams.

 

You know, before we drafted Ben we had a 6-10 year.

Just saying a worse than expected year is very possible. We have the toughest schedule too.

I could imagine the season goes like this: We start poorly. Ben tries to do too much and gets hurt in the first half of the season. We go 6-11.

Yes, that could happen and it`s not a huge stretch of pessimistic imagination.

 

20-0

 

Hissss... Boooo!
LoL.
Pessimists.

 

How can you put odds on teams that don't know who's on them yet? Especially the Steelers. I'll wait until at least after the draft to even think of how many wins we're capable of. Not sure if it'll change much but you never know.

 

Draft picks have the least impact on any given season. They're mostly special teamers or inactive. A handful around the league make an impact their rookie season, even fewer make that impact immediately.

 

Agreed. We have several D starters on the wrong side of their careers and very little depth across the board. A moderate to bad injury year could lead to an epic tailspin.

I hope they draft for the future and don't reach for immediate need.

 

Easy, if you are in the business of booking bets, why wait to take action? Especially, if people are willing to offer it.

 

Dale Lolley said a team should get 3 starters out of a draft, the Steelers did that last year without having a first round pick.

 

Do you know who will be our starting OL? What's going on with AV? We just resigned Vince, who knows how well Bush and Ben returns in camp. Browns just signed a new DL Clown. Ben, Ju Ju, Chase. Dotson and other rookies seem to be making an impact a lot more in the first years Will our #1 draft pick replace Pouncey? Maybe its just me but it seems we are still finding out who starts in every position and able to be competitive game 1.

 

7-10

 

Yep.


See Chase Claypool, D.K. Metcalf, L'Jarius Sneed, Maxx Crosby, etc.

 

I make my picks in the AFCN by QBs, and I still believe right now we have the Best Qb. Even Ben broken down is better than ....I can't read a D, and I can't throw. You can decide which is which.
Burrows is my only concern in this division, and He
1. Is coming off a injury
2. May never get a full team around him.
3. Not yet sold on the coach. Not saying he's not good. I just haven't seen enough 2 decided IMO.

 

Under
Over
Under
Under

 

Should they draft Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell, Joe Burrow will essentially be David Carr 2.0; a shame really. A QB, no matter how gifted, needs a quality Offensive Line. Even Trevor Lawrence will need it and, given the fact that Cam Robinson is not likely to be there come 2022, investing in an Offensive Tackle like Samuel Cosmi would be a very wise investment to go with Jawaan Taylor.


For that matter, I really hope that Offensive Center is in play within the first three rounds.

 

9 wins sounds about right to me. I might make it 9.5 but that's about it.

TIFWIW, meaning it ain't worth a thing, but I'd make the probability curve peak at 9 wins at around 30%, 8 and 10 wins at 20% each and then less than 8 and more than 10 at 15% each. Maybe shift it a half game to the good, but that's about it. I have a hard time putting the peak of the curve at 10 wins.