CB Marlon Humphrey

This guy seems like he may be in for a bit of a free fall on Thursday night.

I had casually watched him over the past 2 seasons and thought he was pretty good. Thought he had a great combine.I know coming out of the combine I had seen some draft sites list him as a Top 10 pick and perhaps even threatening Lattimore as the #1 CB. I never quite saw that but thought he was a top 15 pick.

I know the Steelers have showed alot of interest in him which I thought was strange bease I never thought he would fall that far.

Well the more tape I watch the more I question my initial analysis. He quickly started t looking like an overrated prospect.

First what does he do well. Incredibly athletic. Great closing speed. Great make up speed. He may be the best tackling CB in the draft and overall very willing in run support.

At Alabama he only played the left side of the defense which means they did not have him mirror the opposing teams #1 WR all the time. Most likely a scheme thing.

He gets beat alot initially off the line but because of his athleticism, he is able to avoid catastrophe quite often.

Still for such a highly regarded prospect, he gets beat deep alot. I'm not sure if it was for 2016 or for his career, but he averages 19 yards per completion given up. Not good. I know even Deion was criticising his technique at the combine.

Been watching alot of tape this morning and I wouldn't be surprised if Humphrey falls out of the 1st round or atleast falls to us at #30. But, would we want him?

Not that it falls squarely on him, but in the 2015 and 2016 championship games, 3 tds were given up to his side on pick plays. Looks like the slot corner took the blame on most of them, but where's the communication? The TDs always occurred to the slot WR but to the outside of the end zone but Bama was always in man coverage. Where was the pass off?

What say you? Should he fall to #30, do you think the Steelers would take him?

 

DeCastro?

 

I don't think this is a DeCastro situation at all. I think this is a case of the media draft pundits catching up with what most NFL teams probably know already - Humphrey is a H/W/S CB prospect who played for a great defense that usually pressured QBs enough to cover his flaws. He has a really, really big problem with vertical routes in man coverage. It shows up on pretty clearly on his tape IMO. I think he has the tools to succeed as a zone corner playing with the action in front of him, or in man coverage where there is usually safety help over the top like Cover 2 man. The biggest "highlight reel" play that I saw on tape was an interception that he made in zone when he was covering the flat and saw the QB staring down a guy who was making a deep out cut. He turned an jumped the route beautifully for an interception, and the QB had no clue that he was going to be there (I can't remember which of his games that was in). That's how he needs to be used IMO.

I don't see the value at Pick #30, especially if we're trying to be better at man coverage.

 

Zero. Guard remains an undervalued position. Then again, Jarvis was the first LB taken in 2013.