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Playoff Predictor - Help me out here

Discussion in 'Steelers Talk' started by takenoprisoners1, Dec 8, 2015.

  1. takenoprisoners1

    takenoprisoners1 Well-Known Member

    4,404
    378
    Nov 7, 2011
    Okay, all you dreamers and tiebreaking enthusiasts - NFL.com has their playoff predictor back and I'm trying to understand a scenario....

    Say the earth swallows up the Bengals, or more specifically:

    The Bengals only beat the 49ers the rest of the season and the Steelers win out. According to my calculations:

    Steelers and Bengals are both 11-5 (having split with each other during the season)
    Both teams are 4-2 in the division
    Both teams are 10-4 against common opponents (Steelers lose to New England, beat Indy - Bengals beat the Bills, lose to the Texans so both 1-1 against non-common opponents)
    Both teams are 8-4 in the conference
    Strength of victory in this scenario:

    Common opponents beaten (other than each other)

    Oakland
    San Diego
    Baltimore
    Cleveland (2)
    San Francisco
    St. Louis

    Non-common opponents beaten:

    Cincy (Kansas City, Seattle, Buffalo)
    Pittsburgh (Denver, Arizona, Indianapolis)

    In almost every scenario imaginable, Pittsburgh's strength of victory would be superior, yet the playoff predictor still shows Cincinnati as the division winner. Realizing this is a far-fetched scenario, can someone find the flaw in the logic?
     
    • Informative Informative x 1
  2. Jammasterc

    Jammasterc Well-Known Member

    16,500
    1,449
    Oct 26, 2011
    Just Win Baby!
    oops sorry.
     
  3. Lizard72

    Lizard72

    22,622
    1,928
    Oct 23, 2011
    Don't know what you're doing wrong. I did the same thing and show Pittsburgh as the 3 seed. That's assuming they win out and Cincy drops all the AFC games.......

    This team really has a way of doing wonders for their playoff scenarios by losing to the teams they really need to beat head to head.
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2015
    • Agree Agree x 1
  4. Steel_Elvis

    Steel_Elvis Staff Member Mod Team

    17,469
    5,206
    Nov 4, 2011
    I LOVE this scenario... :twisted:
     
    • Like Like x 2
  5. truckin9999

    truckin9999

    5,678
    1,211
    Oct 16, 2011
    Here is the only scenario I like... win the last 4 games of the regular season to clinched a playoff berth... and 4 more for the title... my money is on an 9 game winning streak to end the season!!!
     
  6. MojaveDesertPghFan

    MojaveDesertPghFan Set the controls for the heart of the Sun.

    9,262
    3,744
    Oct 19, 2011
    I believe your algorithm is set to have the final tie-breaker use an alpha sort which would have either "C" or "B" precede "P" or "S". I'd switch that to which City is closer to the origin of the Ohio River. That would settle it once and for all. In fact it should be the very first tie breaker every year independent of team records. :hmm:
     
  7. takenoprisoners1

    takenoprisoners1 Well-Known Member

    4,404
    378
    Nov 7, 2011
    It's strange. I believe the NFL.com predictor incorrectly picks strength of victory in a Steelers/Bengals 11-5 tie when the Bengals only win is against the 49ers. The ESPN predictor is correct...

    HOWEVER, in a scenario where the Seahawks tie the Cardinals at 11-5, the strength of victory would be determined by wins from Steelers/Cowboys (for the Hawks) vs. Bengals/Saints (for the Cardinals). I believe NFL.com correctly predicts that while ESPN is wrong. Of course, I suppose I could be wrong and it will all be moot in a couple of weeks anyway, but I don't know why they come up with different answers. Does anyone else see this or does the lack of reality make it not worth checking????
     
  8. Lizard72

    Lizard72

    22,622
    1,928
    Oct 23, 2011
    You are correct they are reversed.
     

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