“TOX” stat

I think this stat should be considered in analyzing a team and games more regularly.


In football,
TOX is an analytical stat standing for Turnovers & Explosive Plays, a metric combining turnover differential (takeaways minus giveaways) with big play differential (passing plays of 25+ yards for minus against) to gauge overall team impact, often used to predict success beyond basic stats like ANY/A. It's a powerful indicator of a team's ability to win the "hidden" battles of possession and big-play creation/prevention, used by analysts like Clayton Eckert.
How TOX Works
TOX measures a team's "toxic" impact on the game by focusing on game-changing events.

1. Turnover Differential (TO): (Opponent Turnovers) - (Team Turnovers).
2. Passing Big Play Differential (BP): (Team 25+ yard passing plays) - (Opponent 25+ yard passing plays).
3. TOX = TO + BP (or similar combination).

Why it Matters

• Predictive Power: It's considered more predictive of future success than just passing yards or simple turnover margin, as it accounts for how big plays and turnovers happen.
• Holistic View: It captures both offense and defense by looking at creating and preventing these major swings in field position and scoring opportunities.
• Analytic Tool: Advanced analysts use TOX (often as part of a larger suite like CATS for College Football) to find hidden strengths in teams.

 

You should change your handle

 

Lol… It’s only how this old dude SLEEPS!