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NB's Mock Draft

Discussion in 'The Bill Nunn Draft Room' started by SteelCity_NB, Mar 27, 2013.

  1. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    I'm a little late getting to the Mock Draft party this year. I have been struggling with my off season evaluations. My main conclusion is that this is a very poor draft class. I always knew that offensively this was an atrocious draft but I am starting to see big holes even on the defensive side of the ball. I've certainly been a bit scattered trying to put the pieces together. But alas, the show must go on. I'll have my Top 60 prospects ready to roll soon enough, but for now, here is my 7 round mock with explanations:

    1. OLB Damontre Moore (Texas A&M)

    You can put me in the boat that thinks OLB is a MAJOR hole on our team right now. Silverback is gone, Woodley is inconsistent and injury prone. Worilds has been decent in spot duty and Carter really failed to show when given the opportunity. I think OLB is a LEGITIMATE concern. I think we need someone who can come in and get some reps Year 1. I'm not talking about being a starter (As Lebeau and Butler put it every year - rookies don't start). Moore has the size necessary to play immediately in the NFL. His production in the Big 12/SEC has been incredible. He has experience playing 3-4 OLB already. Would I love Jarvis Jones or Chance Warmack? Of course, but I don't think they hang around until #17, and I don't see a guy like Werner transitioning to the 3-4. I'm also assuming Dion Jordon and Ziggy Ansah are long gone. I like Moore more than Mingo. Moore it is!

    2. WR Robert Woods (USC)

    This pick frustrates me like no other. I think we almost have to go WR with this selection. I fully anticipate losing Sanders which will make our WR corps very thin. There's a cluster of WRs that I have together including Woods, Justin Hunter & Terrence Williams. I think Hunter is gone and I like Woods just a bit more than Williams. This is a straight up NEED pick, which could trump other talent on the board. Others I would consider if they were still around but whom I expect to be gone are Eddie Lacy & Margus Hunt.

    3. S Bacarri Rambo (Georgia)

    The only question that remains is will he still be available at this point in the draft? I think so. If not, I would also be looking at his teammate Shawn Williams or DJ Swearinger from South Carolina. I think Round 3 is my optimal round to grab a Safety.

    4. ILB Nico Johnson (Alabama)

    This is another pick that frustrates me a bit, as alot of my other options I assume will be gone by now. Johnson is a straight up 3-4 inside thumper. Unfortunately, it is not looking good for Sean Spence and we can't rely on Larry Foote forever. Plug Johnson inside in Year 2 or 3 and just let him be a consistent tackler. Other options I want at this pick which I suspect will already be off the board include CB Tyran Mathieu and C Brian Schwenke.

    5. RB Kenjon Barner (Oregon)

    Not really my style of RB, but a guy I think the Steelers will be looking at. I also was looking at Marcus Lattimore, whom I like much more, but with his knees and his style, I'm not sure the Steelers will be looking at him. Barner is a smaller, shiftier RB that will compliment bigger backs like Dwyer & Redman. Should Barner be off the board, maybe Ray Graham of PITT gets a look.

    6a. OG Jeff Baca (UCLA)

    Is a better athlete than I would have thought. Is a tough and nasty interior linemen that we would love to add to the mix. I wouldn't hate either grabbing another WR here or another body for the D-line.

    6b. DE Kapron Lewis-Moore (Notre Dame)

    I always enjoyed watching Lewis-Moore as he really seemed to be the heart of the Irish defense. Yes, that's right, Lewis-Moore and not Manti Te'o. The Irish defense was as suceessful as it was due to a great defensive line. He has the size and the production to back it up. If not a DL then another WR to add into the mix. Maybe we can strike gold on another Antonio Brown in Round 6.

    7. QB Ryan Griffin (Tulane)

    The Steelers brought him in, so there must be some interest. I think this is the year we really have to start developing a future QB. Whether its Griffin or the disappointing Dayne Crist, I would very much like to take a QB near the end of the draft.
     
  2. freakfontana

    freakfontana

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    i like all of them but not jonson , i would prefer another lb (kiko alonso ? sio moore ?)
     
  3. JackAttack 5958

    JackAttack 5958 Well-Known Member

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    Nice job, SCNB. I think all of these picks are reasonable and you expound on each one nicely. This would be a realistic draft for the Steelers. I must admit, while this draft makes logical sense I wouldn't be doing any happy dances if it breaks down this way. My hope at this point is that Jarvis Jones falls to us in the first, but as you point out that's not likely to happen. I think in the second I'd rather go with BPA rather than need and I hope that we're able to keep Sanders. If not, I fully understand your logic in round 2. Love the Griffin pick in round 7! Good work!
     
  4. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    Its my mock draft and I'm not happy with it! :lolol:

    I'm just not a huge fan of the draft class itself or our position in it. I'm torn on a draft strategy. Do we trade down and accumulate more picks in hopes of hitting on some lottery tickets? Or do we trade up and try and get out of this abysmal talent pool with 3 legitimately talented NFL calibre players? Colbert is going to have a tough time coming out of this draft looking good.
     
  5. Steel_Elvis

    Steel_Elvis Staff Member Mod Team

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    I don't entirely agree with your assessment of this draft class as a whole. I would agree that the star-level talent pool (particularly for teams that run a 3-4 defense) is abysmal, but I think that there is a lot of depth, and that a lot of quality NFL players will come from rounds 3-5 of this draft. In some cases, this draft sets up well for us at positions of need, in others it does not. I do think that the talent pool at our #1 need - OLB - is mediocre. When I watch film on guys like Jamie Collins and Corey Lemonier, who have all of the physical tools, my head explodes. They do not show any consistency or instincts. Even DaMontre Moore, who has really great production, looks like he just pushes flat-out into the backfield on every play, and it makes me wonder if he has the head to play the OLB position in our scheme. I entered this offseason liking Brandon Jenkins from when I watched games 2 years ago, but when I started watching film of him in isolation he moved way down on my board. Frankly, even Jarvis Jones has enough question marks to where he would likely be there at #17 in a normal draft, and we only have a slight chance of him falling to us this year.

    For our needs other than OLB, I hate the 2nd round, but I love rounds 3-5. Whenever I run through an online big board like the one on cbs/NFLdraftscout, and think about who I would pick in each round, I always hate making the 2nd round pick because I see several other guys at the same positions that I like just as much. I kind of view players ranking from around 40 - 100 as being close to the same guy in overall grade, with differentiation based on position and scheme. My "ideal" draft this year would be to have a low 1st (maybe mid 20's) and a bunch of 3rd and 4th rounders. I would look hard at any trade down opportunities that arise. I think a lot of those 3rd - 5th rounders will surprise.
     
  6. Wardismvp

    Wardismvp Well-Known Member

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    Nice Job Steel City NB, your selections cover the same needs
    I am thinking. We just have different taste in players.
     
  7. SteelByDesign

    SteelByDesign Well-Known Member

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    I want no part of Mingo or Damontre Moore.

    Moore has a reputation of not taking his job very seriously off the field. He doesn't hit the weight room like he should and the rumors are that he goes out an parties way too much. They're saying he's going to be a train wreck as soon as he gets an NFL contract.
     
  8. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    Trust me, its an ongoing argument I have been having with myself. I think we need to come away from this draft with a STARTING CALIBRE OLB and a S. Sure, we could go with Vacarro in Round 1, but what OLB is going to be there in Round 3 that may have to potentially start a game or two this season? I don't see one. On the other hand, if we OLB in Round 1, there are a number of Safeties in Round 3 that I could see being NFL ready.

    I just hate where #17 puts us in terms of value this year. Of course I would prefer to trade down, but that's always easier said than done. Trade up? This option may be more realistic, but then again, we would probably have to burn a 3rd round pick, and I really love the value in the 3rd round.

    SBD - Who do you prefer, Mingo or Moore? Because ultimately, I think that's what the choice is going to come down to. And I am not a Mingo fan at all.
     
  9. steel1031

    steel1031 Well-Known Member

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    i dont dislike your draft but i have to disagree with you on the draft. with the needs we have this is the deepest draft we could have. saftey is extremly deep and so is lb. the problem is running back and wr are not. the star positions are weak therefore people think the draft is week. oline and dline is above average. corner is not strong but there are some solid players for rounds 2-5. i am excited for us this year. if we choose to, and i hope we do, we can get 4 future starters and at least one this year on d if we draft right. we can get 2 starting safties and an olb or mlb. if we go offense in round 1 and 2 this will be hard to do. i have seen some mocks with us going wr and rb in first two rounds. i think i will lose my mind if we do this
     
  10. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    I agree that this is a deep Safety class, which is why I am hoping we hold off until Round 3 before we select one. I do disagree that this is a deep OLB class though. Past the top 2 rounds, I'm not sure if I see many great 3-4 OLB prospects.

    I
     
  11. Steel_Elvis

    Steel_Elvis Staff Member Mod Team

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    I am getting closer and closer to thinking that there is a chance that Jarvis Jones will be there at pick #17. Mike Mayock said yesterday that he doesn't see Jones being a Top 15 pick, and he is generally fairy well plugged in to where players might go. I'm still less than 50/50, but I am getting a bit more optimistic.

    SCNB - would you go with Jones at #17 if he lands there, or do you have concerns about him?
     
  12. SteelByDesign

    SteelByDesign Well-Known Member

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    Gun to my head? I'd go with Moore over Mingo, because I think Moore can at least play. I think Mingo is going to just get tossed around by NFL offensive linemen. And if Moore ever got his work ethic on the field to match off it he'd probably be a great player, but I want no part of either.

    I wouldn't be shocked if Jarvis Jones is sitting there at 17 and we take someone like Vacarro over him.



    I don't think we have to get an OLB as bad as everyone else does. I think Worilds is going to get his chance. I think the coaching staff likes Chris Carter and Alan Robinson as backups too... I agree that if we go OLB in this draft it probably has to be in round 1, but I think we don't take one.
     
  13. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    I am a BIG Jarvis Jones fan. Don't really care about the slow 40 time with him. He knows how to rush the quarterback and disrupt the backfield. My only questions with him are medical. If those check out as being fine, and he was available @ #17, I wouldn't hesitate at all.

    Jones DOMINATED the SEC for the past 2 years and IMO is clearly the best pass rusher in this draft class.

    As for Vacarro, I just don't see the talent to be considered a Top 20 kind of guy. I only have him rated as the 3rd best S anyways, so I would not be happy with his selection at #17.
     
  14. Blast Furnace

    Blast Furnace Staff Member Mod Team

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    As Brian Billick once said, you don't have to run 40 yards to sack the QB. I'd take Jones in a heartbeat, I think his medical will be fine.
     
  15. mac daddyo

    mac daddyo Well-Known Member

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    http://thesidelineview.com/columns/nfl/metrics-breakdown-top-pass-rushers-tier-1

    here's the article i was talking about steel.

    as far as your mock. i don't dislike rambo, but i like others better.

    i love woods as a wr.

    griffen and barner we agree about. i also have been high on ray graham as an option.

    i really like lewis-moore too.

    i like baca but they say he has trouble in space finding targets and hitting them. if i'm taking a guy like this at 6, i'd be much more in favor of dalton freeman from clemson. he can play C and G. he still has the baca quicks also.

    nico should be better then he is. i've been shying away from him for awhile. i don't know why he couldn't be built into a pass rushing OLB. everything is there but the insticts and play. moore i think will slip. he's talented but his short comings may be compounded at the next level. he may be there in the 2nd by draftday. pretty solid draft though.

    :cool:
     
  16. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    Interesting article mac. I wouldn't disagree with its findings. I love Okafor, but I just see him more as a 4-3 DE. Perhaps he could transition. I'll leave that up to Lebeau.

    My whole argument, is that if indeed we are looking at OLB, it is probably going to come down to Moore vs Mingo. Maybe, by some fluke, Jarvis Jones is available, which I would take in a heartbeat, but I just can't see him falling that far. Moore & Mingo are both flawed, but I think Moore is the easy choice.

    I'm not saying that I love Nico Johnson but what is he? He is a straight downhill thumper. He has the size to engage with interior linemen. He's kind of a Larry Foote guy. In the 4th round, for a depth ILB, I'll take it.
     
  17. mac daddyo

    mac daddyo Well-Known Member

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    i agree that all the top pass rushers are flawed and usually are.

    remember until just a few short years ago we were the only team running the 3-4. we are not new at it. alot of teams are still searching for those type of players as they made the switch. they are more likely to take a shot in the dark at the POTENTIAL guys that look good in shorts then the steelers would.

    we have guys in place. other teams are still searching for starters. i think it's alot of the reason all these DE's are the rage this year. we however know what we want in those guys. if it's not there, we won't pick that position.

    at least it used to be that way here. then again, they could bring in a guy nobody has heard of from kent state and have a HOF'er. they have done pretty well from there so far. LOL:smiley1:

    PS. there is actually a pretty good LB from there this year. they had a good team too last year.

    :cool:
     
  18. steel1031

    steel1031 Well-Known Member

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    it is a good read mac. the only problem i have is that everyone with an ipod and a website has opinions on these things. its like kiper and mcshay. they can guess at what team is going to take a player just like we can. the top ten isnt hard after that nobody knows.imo i like to watch games. when i see a kid get to the qb all game long either sacking or just in his face. i say who is he playing, is the kid blocking him going to play nfl ball, and does he disappear during the game. i can tell you that georgia has two kids who will be good pros. jones and washington. jones gets all the pub so naturally he is going to be the first rounder but washington is every bit as good. you can get him in the 3rd maybe 4th. just one more example is lemonier from auburn. mid rounder that can play every bit as good as any first rounder u will draft. he just doesnt have the gym stats as the other players. that hurts me being a bama fan to even say it. a steal in the draft could be devonte holloman from south car. he has been very productive there for 3 years. i know when they played tenn he was all over the field. my point is i think in the mid rounds you can get quality if you study tape and do your homework. i have always said the film dont lie. when you line up against other future nfl players and you can hold your own, its a good sign. when you dont. well you get the idea
     
  19. mac daddyo

    mac daddyo Well-Known Member

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    not according to lemoniers workout done by butler. a prominent afc scout was heard saying they came away unimpressed.

    teams could have players ranked 32 different ways and at 32 different slots every round. it just depends on what they are looking for. can that on field talent at the college level handle the pro level? will they play year 1,2,3 really comes into play in these free agency days. sure it was nice we brought along guys from within here, but as we are seeing, by the time they get on the field it will then cost us money. we don't want to become the minor league feeder team for the rest of the league.:cool:
     
  20. steel1031

    steel1031 Well-Known Member

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    again i dont look at workout numbers. now that being said if they were unimpressed thats all that matters. if u are gonna go by butler then u can forget a rookie lb starting anyway. i have heard him say several times a rookie wont start. for every workout warrior u list i can name a player who was a solid pro who stunk it up at combine. the plus side to drafting playes like cory from big schools is the do it week in and week out against nfl type players. i mean every member of alabama, georgia, and even lsu offensive line will make nfl rosters one day. i remember zack thomas. i met him i think it was two years after he retired. i remember thinking how in the world was he an nfl lber. i am taller and built bigger than he is. but when u put the tape he was damn good.
     
  21. mac daddyo

    mac daddyo Well-Known Member

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    he first said that about spence too and the kid impressed his way into a starting role.

    they may have to change their ways on evaluating at some point. guys just don't stay with teams that long if they show anything at all.

    there are so many things that go into a players evaluation. if he gets more pluses then minuses they will consider them. lemonier has the build they are looking for it seems, just like simon and maponga (sp?) whom they were looking at too.

    i don't think confrence has anything to do with it, there are alot of flops even out of the SEC too. they do like consistant winning top teams. they have to think , is there enough from what we see for him to start year one, two, three, or four. or is there something we can't fix about him and never will. it's an educated crap shoot.

    there are alot of players that aren't as big as most people think. head , heart and natural ability has alot to do with it. finding guys that have all the physical gifts with head and heart and then you have something.

    :cool:
     
  22. noitall0605

    noitall0605 Well-Known Member

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    Actually I like the flow of your mock. Only thing didn't roll with but you know the Steelers and Tomlin are probably looking at him is pick 5. Love pick 6a and 6 b, those guys are good value for ass kickers
     
  23. JackAttack 5958

    JackAttack 5958 Well-Known Member

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    Uh, what did you just say??? :unsure:

    Edit: Never mind. I think I deciphered it.
     
  24. cajunyankee

    cajunyankee Well-Known Member

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    I'm not too thrilled with it either. I really expected a better one from you as you're a board member that I respect when it comes to things like this. seriously I'm almost shocked.


    I don't like Moore with the 1st pick unless we've moved down and acquired an extra pick. I agree OLB is a need but I think it can be filled by a smaller DE in the middle rds unless of course J. Jones is available.


    I don't like WR in rd 2. Limas sweed did that to me along with being able to find talent like wallace,sanders & brown in the mid-late rds.

    I don't like rambo period. We've had our share of pot smoking alcoholics head cases...... Swearinger or Thomas would be a much better choice in the 3rd if safety is the position you're looking for.

    Its not all bad for me as I LOVE your picks 4-7 especially picks 4,5 & 7.

    Cajun-
     
  25. SteelCity_NB

    SteelCity_NB Staff Member Mod Team

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    ;)
     

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